pichwish
0xb86efeaca780ba45d8f66814e99dbbde3629e0ec
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $167.2k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $423.33
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · No | 0.580 | 1.000 | $135.00 | +$56.70 |
| Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.275 | $116.88 | −$53.13 |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.741 | 0.183 | $94.87 | −$288.23 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · No | 0.819 | 0.914 | $72.21 | +$7.50 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.920 | $3.68 | +$1.68 |
| Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.175 | $0.70 | −$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$500.32at 0.160Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
- +$430.56at 0.150Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
- +$429.51at 0.166Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
- +$402.56at 0.320Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
- +$380.70at 0.390Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 14:39 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $164.65 |
| 04-27 08:20 | Critical Discord Incident by April 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $183.30 |
| 04-24 04:31 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.65 | $652.60 |
| 04-11 23:25 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $869.44 |
| 04-11 23:23 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $24.64 |
| 04-11 16:47 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $83.60 |
| 04-11 05:41 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $25.52 |
| 04-09 22:40 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $200.08 |
| 04-09 09:15 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04? | SELL | 0.45 | $385.65 |
| 04-08 03:28 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $204.96 |
| 04-08 00:30 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04? | BUY | 0.46 | $394.22 |
| 04-07 19:43 | Critical Discord Incident by April 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $574.05 |
| 03-29 19:32 | Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $94.77 |
| 03-26 07:25 | Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | SELL | 0.36 | $77.40 |
| 03-26 03:31 | Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $334.78 |