Fuller1
0xb869b6101b1580b8985240069827751702cf2945
- Realised P&L
- $134.59
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $5.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.605 | $3.27 | +$0.51 |
| Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? · Yes | 0.595 | 0.334 | $2.36 | −$1.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.95at 0.922Zamalek SC vs. Ceramica Cleopatra Club: O/U 4.5
- +$30.03at 0.942Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)
- +$24.29at 0.951Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)
- +$23.95at 0.951Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)
- +$19.17at 0.910Spread: Grêmio Novorizontino (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 07:02 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999723 | $2.76 |
| 08-27 06:51 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $378.00 |
| 08-27 05:57 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $376.00 |
| 07-14 03:10 | Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? | BUY | 0.922 | $424.12 |
| 07-14 01:52 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $418.60 |
| 07-04 06:22 | Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $409.20 |
| 07-04 02:17 | Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $408.50 |
| 06-26 02:34 | Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $356.25 |
| 06-26 01:24 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $372.00 |
| 06-25 09:17 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $380.00 |
| 06-25 07:51 | Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? | BUY | 0.952 | $376.04 |
| 06-16 04:35 | KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $310.20 |
| 05-23 02:53 | Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $475.00 |
| 05-23 02:04 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $475.00 |
| 05-22 05:02 | Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5) | BUY | 0.94 | $484.10 |