Wik123
0xb8696e7692bb0ff75faec417e28178d1225903ff
- Realised P&L
- $-35.82
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $16.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.987 | $4.94 | +$0.09 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · No | 0.680 | 0.735 | $3.67 | +$0.28 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.395 | $1.98 | −$0.03 |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.045 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.007 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.018 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.035 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.060 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.036 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.69at 0.562Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeons
- +$12.92at 0.482Map Handicap: SRG (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5)
- +$6.39at 0.361Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo
- +$3.65at 0.270Counter-Strike: OG vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group D
- +$3.62at 0.300ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Denmark
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:07 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 15:24 | Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 11-01 14:09 | Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 11-01 13:41 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 11-01 13:41 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 11-01 13:19 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 11-01 06:57 | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 11-01 01:10 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 11-01 00:11 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Isurus (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Playoffs | BUY | 0.001 | $1.98 |
| 10-31 22:04 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 10-31 21:11 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Isurus (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Playoffs | BUY | 0.0343119152 | $0.55 |
| 10-31 20:08 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-31 19:53 | LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5799999882 | $2.95 |
| 10-31 19:53 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 10-31 19:39 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |