Well-Informed-Profit-Human
0xb86810cba1e5c1f434a4c938e6aabcda17e85fac
- Realised P&L
- $-84.71
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $8.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled? · No | 0.092 | 0.070 | $3.01 | −$0.98 |
| Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 0 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $2.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.215 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 FC Barcelona? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.053 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.29at 0.535Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$14.32at 0.525Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$6.59at 0.019Will San Marino win on 2026-09-29?
- +$3.95at 0.645Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
- +$3.64at 0.363Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 08:40 | Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 FC Barcelona? | BUY | 0.0549999975 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 08:39 | Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 0 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 16:51 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 16:51 | Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 07:59 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 10-18 19:36 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0728162091 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 19:35 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.88 | $22.59 |
| 10-18 19:23 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.7699999934 | $19.77 |
| 10-18 15:38 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.629999973 | $7.00 |
| 10-18 13:23 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 10-18 12:07 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $3.00 |
| 10-17 17:16 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 17:00 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 16:57 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 16:35 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |