PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

maroon-dot

0xb8642af924a98f8d2281949c5c7b0ebf5bbf77f1

Realised P&L
$-65.96
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
962
Open portfolio
$59.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded962
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October? · No0.7100.695$27.80−$0.60
Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? · No0.7270.731$14.61+$0.07
Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2950.235$9.40−$2.40
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.3900.385$7.70−$0.10
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00−$2.76
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00−$2.24
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up0.7800.000$0.00−$2.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$5.97
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$2.80
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00−$5.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00−$5.38
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$1.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Down0.5400.000$0.00−$1.49
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up0.6300.000$0.00−$2.01
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00−$5.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 17:36Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.7899999122$1.80
09-04 13:22Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.7699999947$1.45
09-04 10:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETBUY0.64$1.78
09-03 13:31Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.75$1.78
09-03 00:02Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.7$1.16
09-02 14:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.5799998682$1.76
09-01 13:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.6999999496$1.39
09-01 13:41Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.6699999513$1.79
09-01 09:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.6099998922$1.81
08-31 15:57Ethereum Up or Down - August 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.8099999866$1.81
08-30 23:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.7099999211$1.53
08-30 21:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.7299999062$1.79
08-30 17:07Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.6699999662$1.19
08-28 12:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETBUY0.65$1.82
08-28 02:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETBUY0.6899999348$1.80