0xb860a05210c9be135d4ff83e056525dc55d92778
0xb860a05210c9be135d4ff83e056525dc55d92778
- Realised P&L
- $89.88
- Volume
- $18.8k
- Markets traded
- 269
- Open portfolio
- $44.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded269
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.38at 0.125Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?
- +$81.75at 0.011Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- +$64.39at 0.050Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$55.20at 0.056Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
- +$54.96at 0.010Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 01:04 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.48 |
| 05-18 00:04 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.28 |
| 05-18 00:03 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.93 |
| 05-17 22:40 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.093 | $2.63 |
| 05-17 21:58 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.52 |
| 05-17 19:41 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 19:08 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $6.24 |
| 05-17 19:01 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.22 |
| 05-17 18:31 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 05-17 16:02 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 05-17 15:17 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.04 |
| 05-17 15:13 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.34 |
| 05-17 10:40 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.24 |
| 05-17 10:03 | Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 05-17 07:55 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.00 |