0xb85dec538f8ab74cfd5081744f6aef1101185ab8
0xb85dec538f8ab74cfd5081744f6aef1101185ab8
- Realised P&L
- $102.49
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $17.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.06at 0.218Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$42.81at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 20?
- +$42.04at 0.109Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$22.39at 0.602Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 9?
- +$22.27at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 16:47 | Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-22 16:58 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-22 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 16:47 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.971 | $7.77 |
| 09-22 16:45 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.972 | $38.88 |
| 09-20 16:49 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.58 |
| 09-20 16:39 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.11 |
| 09-19 16:46 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.4 | $29.12 |
| 09-18 17:16 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.21 | $19.74 |
| 09-17 16:52 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.0489999998 | $9.06 |
| 09-16 17:03 | Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 09-15 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 09-15 16:44 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.75 |
| 09-14 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 09-12 16:42 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.61 | $9.76 |