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Traders

0xb85dec538f8ab74cfd5081744f6aef1101185ab8

0xb85dec538f8ab74cfd5081744f6aef1101185ab8

Realised P&L
$102.49
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$17.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix · SAN-EN NeoPhoenix0.5200.515$10.30−$0.10
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? · No0.3700.435$4.35+$0.65
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · No0.1800.245$2.45+$0.65
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$19.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 15? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$7.40
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 26? · No0.6500.000$0.00−$7.36
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? · No0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$5.00
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$0.83
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$9.06
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$3.30
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 8? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$4.40
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 16:47Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenixBUY0.52$10.40
09-22 16:58Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?BUY0.37$3.70
09-22 16:58Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 23?BUY0.3799999982$50.00
09-22 16:47Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?SELL0.971$7.77
09-22 16:45Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?SELL0.972$38.88
09-20 16:49Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.43$2.58
09-20 16:39Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.004$0.11
09-19 16:46Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 20?BUY0.4$29.12
09-18 17:16Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.21$19.74
09-17 16:52Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?BUY0.0489999998$9.06
09-16 17:03Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.18$1.80
09-15 16:52Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?BUY0.38$19.00
09-15 16:44Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?SELL0.17$1.75
09-14 16:47Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 15?BUY0.37$7.40
09-12 16:42Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?BUY0.61$9.76
Trader 0xb85dec538f8ab74cfd5081744f6aef1101185ab8 · PolyBot Pro