vebsan
0xb84fb08432a1a0bccca2033d36ed088cac5f40ca
- Realised P&L
- $888.14
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $229.08
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar16.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in September? · No | 0.740 | 0.865 | $116.89 | +$16.89 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in September? · No | 0.938 | 0.920 | $42.20 | −$0.80 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of September? · No | 0.848 | 0.775 | $31.09 | −$2.91 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in September? · No | 0.966 | 0.950 | $19.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in September? · No | 0.980 | 0.956 | $9.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in September? · No | 0.870 | 0.935 | $5.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of September? · No | 0.940 | 0.905 | $3.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.002 | $0.28 | −$9.72 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.75at 0.805Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?
- +$170.37at 0.540Will Tesla reach $495 in January?
- +$114.72at 0.655Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??
- +$107.72at 0.738Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?
- +$84.93at 0.826Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 18:36 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of September? | BUY | 0.8299998465 | $4.00 |
| 09-07 17:23 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of September? | BUY | 0.9399999906 | $4.00 |
| 09-07 17:22 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in September? | BUY | 0.96646941 | $20.00 |
| 09-01 18:48 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of September? | BUY | 0.8499999986 | $30.00 |
| 09-01 18:43 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in September? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 18:42 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in September? | BUY | 0.8699998695 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 18:42 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in September? | BUY | 0.9399059005 | $38.00 |
| 09-01 18:41 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in September? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 18:39 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in September? | BUY | 0.9199999043 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 15:38 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in July? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 15:37 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of July? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 16:08 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $500 end of June? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.00 |
| 06-01 16:19 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $490 end of June? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $180.00 |
| 06-01 15:36 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in June? | BUY | 0.5499999991 | $29.00 |
| 06-01 15:35 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in June? | BUY | 0.88 | $50.00 |