PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WilliamsOlivery

0xb84251e6848a1b34f3568f6d21460cc2f46cff11

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$8.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-44.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration95.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9200.920$8.00+$0.00
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5 · Over0.4900.000$0.00$103.00
Krutykh vs. Hardt: Match O/U 21.5 · Over0.5400.000$0.00$6.00
Spread: Hawks (-14.5) · Hawks0.4700.000$0.00$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 16:28Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.92$8.00
08-19 08:39Krutykh vs. Hardt: Match O/U 21.5BUY0.539999964$6.00
07-05 12:48Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)BUY0.5499999972$30.00
06-15 10:21Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?BUY0.9699999981$10.00
05-15 22:02Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5BUY0.489999999$103.00
03-28 22:00Spread: Hawks (-14.5)BUY0.4699999999$1.1k
03-07 17:45Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?BUY0.96$1.00
03-07 17:45Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?BUY0.91$1.00
03-07 17:44Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.9399999937$3.00
02-23 10:23Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.9199999877$3.00
02-23 10:22Will Artemis II launch by March 31?BUY0.985999998$3.00
02-23 10:22US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?BUY0.9689997296$2.00
01-22 07:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22?BUY0.9469999867$1.00
01-22 07:22Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.9889999901$1.00
12-31 21:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 1?BUY0.999000001$1.00