WilliamsOlivery
0xb84251e6848a1b34f3568f6d21460cc2f46cff11
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $8.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-44.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.920 | $8.00 | +$0.00 |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.00 |
| Krutykh vs. Hardt: Match O/U 21.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Spread: Hawks (-14.5) · Hawks | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.14at 0.557Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
- +$0.45at 0.930Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$0.30at 0.971Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?
- +$0.10at 0.910Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
- +$0.06at 0.969US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:28 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $8.00 |
| 08-19 08:39 | Krutykh vs. Hardt: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.539999964 | $6.00 |
| 07-05 12:48 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5499999972 | $30.00 |
| 06-15 10:21 | Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 05-15 22:02 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5 | BUY | 0.489999999 | $103.00 |
| 03-28 22:00 | Spread: Hawks (-14.5) | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $1.1k |
| 03-07 17:45 | Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 17:45 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 17:44 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.9399999937 | $3.00 |
| 02-23 10:23 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.9199999877 | $3.00 |
| 02-23 10:22 | Will Artemis II launch by March 31? | BUY | 0.985999998 | $3.00 |
| 02-23 10:22 | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9689997296 | $2.00 |
| 01-22 07:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 22? | BUY | 0.9469999867 | $1.00 |
| 01-22 07:22 | Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |
| 12-31 21:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 1? | BUY | 0.999000001 | $1.00 |