PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pmnewmm

0xb83aa651e67ebb49735281374b3e6b361de2c500

Realised P&L
$-127.18
Volume
$12.9k
Markets traded
339
Open portfolio
$475.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded339
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AWS service disrupted by April 30? · No0.3741.000$28.71+$17.98
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Colorado Rockies0.3001.000$20.00+$14.00
Amici Pallacanestro Udinese vs. Olimpia Milano · Amici Pallacanestro Udinese0.2701.000$20.00+$14.60
Will England win on 2026-03-31? · No0.3001.000$17.00+$11.90
Discord IPO before 2027? · No0.3280.893$14.22+$9.00
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · No0.3570.754$13.57+$7.14
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? · Yes0.2201.000$13.00+$10.14
Saski Baskonia vs. Real Madrid · Saski Baskonia0.2301.000$12.74+$9.81
Will Montedio Yamagata vs. Tochigi SC end in a draw? · Yes0.4801.000$12.00+$6.24
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? · Yes0.1301.000$11.76+$10.23
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? · No0.3100.915$10.89+$7.20
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? · No0.1401.000$10.68+$9.18
Ledger IPO before 2027? · No0.5000.961$10.46+$5.01
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? · Yes0.5701.000$10.00+$4.30
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? · Yes0.3801.000$9.90+$6.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.