PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb838d2d3070b51ac9f8d7f2c9b8cd7b61194b188

Realised P&L
$14.51
Volume
$865.68
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$217.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17? · Yes0.3900.965$12.37+$7.37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? · Yes0.0900.190$10.55+$5.55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 19? · Yes0.3400.545$8.01+$3.01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 18? · No0.5000.695$6.95+$1.95
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 18? · Yes0.1600.220$6.87+$1.87
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 18? · Yes0.1150.210$6.77+$3.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.5900.695$5.89+$0.89
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 19? · Yes0.2450.280$5.71+$0.71
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19? · Yes0.4950.550$5.55+$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.2300.255$5.54+$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 19? · Yes0.1900.210$5.53+$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? · No0.5700.625$5.48+$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19? · No0.6900.740$5.36+$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.4500.475$5.28+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 19? · Yes0.4800.495$5.15+$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:15Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.15$0.45
09-17 23:06Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18?BUY0.49$4.11
09-17 22:57Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19?BUY0.64$4.64
09-17 22:39Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.57$5.00
09-17 22:23Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 19?BUY0.31$2.54
09-17 22:01Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.49$2.50
09-17 19:48Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.44$1.63
09-17 17:18Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.69$5.00
09-17 16:51Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17?BUY0.17$4.47
09-17 16:21Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.34$5.00
09-17 16:15Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.59$5.00