PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xB831F6813A7BAd34957D58fbB2b0eE127c09D9da-1772707002758

0xb831f6813a7bad34957d58fbb2b0ee127c09d9da

Realised P&L
$-118.14
Volume
$751.90
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$34.51

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 6? · Yes0.0700.205$5.59+$3.68
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 6? · Yes0.2300.415$5.21+$2.32
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6? · Yes0.0760.200$5.09+$3.14
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 6? · Yes0.0800.165$3.93+$2.02
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 6? · Yes0.2400.270$3.31+$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6? · Yes0.2010.256$2.44+$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6? · Yes0.2000.235$2.26+$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on October 6? · Yes0.1700.195$2.20+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 6? · Yes0.0950.085$1.75−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 6? · Yes0.0600.093$1.71+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 6? · Yes0.1900.100$1.01−$0.91
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$4.28
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? · No0.7700.000$0.00−$14.44
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 20:50Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 6?BUY0.08$1.91
10-05 20:30Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on October 6?BUY0.1699999947$1.92
10-05 20:04Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 6?BUY0.2403936458$2.95
10-05 19:48Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6?BUY0.2009999959$1.92
10-05 19:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6?BUY0.0765550239$1.95
10-05 19:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6?BUY0.2$1.92
10-05 18:43Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 6?BUY0.0599999978$1.10
10-05 18:35Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 6?BUY0.1899999842$1.92
10-05 17:00Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 6?BUY0.0699999982$1.91
10-05 16:00Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 6?BUY0.2299999889$2.89
10-05 16:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 6?BUY0.0946004948$1.95
04-05 13:01Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?BUY0.6199999942$15.00
03-31 14:55US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.61$5.08
03-31 14:50US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.599999976$5.00
03-12 18:43Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?BUY0.25$4.28