0xB831F6813A7BAd34957D58fbB2b0eE127c09D9da-1772707002758
0xb831f6813a7bad34957d58fbb2b0ee127c09d9da
- Realised P&L
- $-118.14
- Volume
- $751.90
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $34.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.85at 0.680Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
- +$2.51at 0.698Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$0.35at 0.971Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on March 8?
- +$0.08at 0.600US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$-0.07at 0.840Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.91 |
| 10-05 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.1699999947 | $1.92 |
| 10-05 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.2403936458 | $2.95 |
| 10-05 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.2009999959 | $1.92 |
| 10-05 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 98°F or higher on October 6? | BUY | 0.0765550239 | $1.95 |
| 10-05 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.92 |
| 10-05 18:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.0599999978 | $1.10 |
| 10-05 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.1899999842 | $1.92 |
| 10-05 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.0699999982 | $1.91 |
| 10-05 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.2299999889 | $2.89 |
| 10-05 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.0946004948 | $1.95 |
| 04-05 13:01 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05? | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |
| 03-31 14:55 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.61 | $5.08 |
| 03-31 14:50 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 03-12 18:43 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.28 |