0xb831b386f399175a9fafd11c1fc20fc42c14a7b0
0xb831b386f399175a9fafd11c1fc20fc42c14a7b0
- Realised P&L
- $-20.28
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $3.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD/CAD hit 1.45 (High) in 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.630 | $3.26 | +$0.21 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.49at 0.151Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.56at 0.180Will Trump say "Gulf of America" in February?
- +$0.36at 0.670US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
- +$-0.12at 0.050Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- +$-0.15at 0.150Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 01:07 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.3674494387 | $3.40 |
| 07-27 01:07 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.017 | $1.68 |
| 07-27 01:06 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.143 | $1.98 |
| 07-27 01:05 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.3599999747 | $4.55 |
| 07-27 01:03 | Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.06 | $4.95 |
| 07-27 01:02 | Will USD/CAD hit 1.45 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999807 | $3.05 |
| 07-27 00:55 | Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.61 |
| 07-27 00:55 | Will Trump say "Loan" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.61 |
| 07-27 00:55 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.369999985 | $6.65 |
| 07-27 00:53 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 00:49 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1439999476 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 00:47 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999748 | $2.78 |
| 07-27 00:45 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0179999902 | $1.78 |
| 07-27 00:44 | Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.0699999892 | $5.78 |
| 02-28 11:20 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1509999692 | $4.00 |