Vipine
0xb82b4205cefecb1a3281c4b94f9397681c9d730e
- Realised P&L
- $-99.13
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? · No | 0.940 | 0.989 | $630.96 | +$30.96 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.823 | 0.960 | $583.06 | +$83.06 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.984 | $534.51 | +$34.51 |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? · No | 0.978 | 0.983 | $502.62 | +$2.62 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · No | 0.840 | 0.760 | $452.38 | −$47.62 |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.715 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.35at 0.671Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
- +$53.56at 0.903Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$48.99at 0.900Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
- +$42.18at 0.884Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$40.85at 0.940US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:19 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | BUY | 0.939999999 | $600.00 |
| 09-14 20:41 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.2805716867 | $43.48 |
| 09-14 20:15 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6452187458 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 20:06 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9778721501 | $500.00 |
| 09-14 12:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $509.72 |
| 09-14 08:05 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.8593913782 | $384.35 |
| 09-13 19:34 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | SELL | 0.9829435867 | $432.29 |
| 09-13 10:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9779999995 | $500.00 |
| 09-12 16:17 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $545.45 |
| 09-12 15:42 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.670772105 | $300.00 |
| 09-10 19:19 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999987 | $500.00 |
| 09-10 19:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.8399999998 | $500.00 |
| 09-10 19:05 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9597519341 | $518.55 |
| 09-10 08:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999998 | $500.00 |
| 09-10 08:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $527.95 |