Evelynsdf
0xb82aa50d83e3ed8fa0317b2397cdb689f5789268
- Realised P&L
- $-51.03
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $8.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.610 | $8.54 | +$1.54 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.34 |
| England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.48 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.42 |
| Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) · FURIA | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.65 |
| Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group A · Sashi Esport | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.56 |
| Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.46at 0.500Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$133.92at 0.500Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?
- +$28.71at 0.500Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$17.85at 0.537Tyler: Fajing Sun vs Andre Ilagan
- +$17.77at 0.532Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 08:34 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election? | BUY | 0.5 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 09:48 | Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group A | BUY | 0.46 | $16.56 |
| 09-08 09:15 | Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $20.65 |
| 08-25 02:54 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.98 |
| 08-25 02:54 | Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $19.76 |
| 08-25 02:54 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 08-19 11:18 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.46 | $12.42 |
| 08-10 12:24 | Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | BUY | 0.3 | $16.20 |
| 07-15 07:43 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3275 | $10.48 |
| 07-01 11:40 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.77 | $21.56 |
| 06-25 01:59 | Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.34 | $24.34 |
| 06-02 12:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.98 |
| 06-02 12:12 | Tyler: Fajing Sun vs Andre Ilagan | BUY | 0.53 | $20.46 |
| 06-02 12:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 05-21 09:49 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? | BUY | 0.53 | $13.46 |