Crypto-Kucherov
0xb81fd0deea83733188fc2fabc2212c6db491a0f5
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $100.1k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.605 | 0.255 | $1.1k | −$1.5k |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$417.99 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.465 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · Natus Vincere | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$292.11 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$521.50 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 28? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.40 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.03 |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.79 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$493.39 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$695.74 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$630.25at 0.645Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$401.85at 0.550Will Usyk beat Fury?
- +$386.91at 0.602Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$368.45at 0.789Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?
- +$307.22at 0.150Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 16:06 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $14.40 |
| 09-07 10:28 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $237.39 |
| 09-07 10:28 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $21.60 |
| 09-07 10:28 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $28.96 |
| 08-27 12:20 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $61.27 |
| 08-26 21:28 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.93 |
| 08-26 21:28 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $57.78 |
| 08-26 21:28 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $17.68 |
| 08-26 14:15 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.66 |
| 07-14 20:16 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2824999958 | $46.03 |
| 07-14 20:15 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3429764386 | $400.00 |
| 07-14 19:17 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5774999997 | $726.01 |
| 07-11 19:51 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.57 | $521.50 |
| 07-11 19:51 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5249999988 | $200.00 |
| 07-10 20:56 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.1k |