0xB819BDA5e1c7b4f6ee75fF7c213a06ef248ed4f1-1791874912202
0xb819bda5e1c7b4f6ee75ff7c213a06ef248ed4f1
- Realised P&L
- $-53.07
- Volume
- $235.24
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $24.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 21? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.265 | $5.54 | +$0.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.307 | 0.330 | $4.95 | +$0.35 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 0%-5%? · No | 0.880 | 0.948 | $4.79 | +$0.34 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 15%-20%? · No | 0.870 | 0.765 | $3.83 | −$0.53 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20? · No | 0.760 | 0.720 | $3.78 | −$0.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.365 | $1.95 | +$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.94at 0.691Game Handicap: LEGION (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)
- +$1.52at 0.750Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)
- +$0.61at 0.878Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17?
- +$0.41at 0.953Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?
- +$0.29at 0.943Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 08:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.99 |
| 10-20 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.3066666667 | $4.60 |
| 10-19 23:39 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 21? | BUY | 0.219999999 | $4.60 |
| 10-19 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.2999999625 | $1.60 |
| 10-19 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.33 |
| 10-19 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.35 | $4.76 |
| 10-17 17:54 | Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2 | $1.05 |
| 10-17 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-17 04:31 | Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $5.39 |
| 10-17 02:57 | Spread: Purdue (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2399999693 | $1.25 |
| 10-17 02:48 | Spread: Washington (-1.5) | BUY | 0.16 | $1.15 |
| 10-16 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-15 22:59 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-15 22:59 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 0%-5%? | BUY | 0.8799999842 | $4.45 |
| 10-15 22:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |