PolyBot

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Traders

160a

0xb819aea1df0c5b62f450aab453404d8b247869da

Realised P&L
$291.71
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration94.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 02:58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.999$1.4k
08-29 12:53Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.923$92.30
08-27 23:53Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.68$543.99
08-10 21:21Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.67$221.10
08-05 01:33Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.89$178.00
08-05 00:54Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.88$4.40
08-05 00:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.84$84.00
08-05 00:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.84$84.00
08-05 00:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.84$84.00
08-05 00:10Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.53$26.28
08-04 23:36Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7205074673$100.00
08-04 23:35Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7058285501$60.00
08-04 23:08Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.68$39.40
08-04 23:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.849999966$10.00
08-04 22:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.839999999$100.00