harrisjasmine
0xb819a685686a2f4e813ff578a6d7c3bab1cf6a03
- Realised P&L
- $21.93
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $37.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.744 | 0.877 | $17.41 | +$2.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19? · No | 0.730 | 0.665 | $11.25 | −$1.10 |
| Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.837 | $8.46 | −$0.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.48at 0.968Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$2.65at 0.976Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.78at 0.984Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.32at 0.988Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.07at 0.990Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 07:49 | Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.10 |
| 01-31 13:38 | Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.43 |
| 01-30 17:29 | Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.94 |
| 01-30 15:06 | Will Chainlink hit $23 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.70 |
| 01-30 14:33 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.27 |
| 01-30 12:53 | Will Opendoor dip to $1.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $72.00 |
| 12-30 11:45 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.18 |
| 12-30 11:19 | Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999612 | $4.81 |
| 12-30 10:51 | Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.83 |
| 12-30 09:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.30 |
| 12-29 20:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999825 | $9.82 |
| 12-29 19:06 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.39 |
| 12-29 19:01 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999805 | $11.76 |
| 12-29 18:46 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9929999762 | $41.22 |
| 10-30 20:43 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $38.14 |