PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb8188867Bd6C6C40A9aA1DEA8094185beEb9838c-1776945704414

0xb8188867bd6c6c40a9aa1dea8094185beeb9838c

Realised P&L
$-9.51
Volume
$569.30
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$2.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? · Yes0.5790.305$2.11−$1.89
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$5.00
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$5.90
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-05 05:32Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?SELL0.92$3.10
05-01 15:39Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?BUY0.5$1.00
05-01 06:16Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?SELL0.0279452784$2.94
04-30 09:14Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?BUY0.8899998072$3.00
04-30 09:12Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?BUY0.6111976748$3.00
04-30 09:10Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999802$4.00
04-27 09:22Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?BUY0.0189999908$2.00
04-27 05:57Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.0579073377$5.00
04-24 07:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.0299999943$5.00