0xb816917eb6ee9164d0260bc2b5f0e2ca869a62e5
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 367
- Open portfolio
- $41.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded367
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.82at 0.577Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
- +$48.74at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
- +$29.44at 0.658Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$28.36at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$20.95at 0.757Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 17:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3? | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $25.00 |
| 11-02 17:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $25.00 |
| 11-02 14:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 14:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 12:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7AM ET | SELL | 0.21 | $7.00 |
| 11-02 12:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $36.82 |
| 11-02 10:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 10:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 09:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 09:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |