Babayyaga
0xb8152dce2b0f365806665d642331bc7ff705a1c7
- Realised P&L
- $-27.68
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $0.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 20 million views in week 1? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Up | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.02at 0.636Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
- +$6.85at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$3.84at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$2.80at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
- +$2.69at 0.656Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 04:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999956 | $6.14 |
| 09-15 04:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.09 |
| 09-15 04:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6499999594 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 04:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $4.21 |
| 09-15 04:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 04:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $0.96 |
| 09-15 04:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $1.55 |
| 09-15 04:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $3.15 |
| 09-15 04:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 04:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 04:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 04:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | SELL | 0.58 | $3.15 |