linlong
0xb8057a48f923dab13f93825069f0b2f56284bedf
- Realised P&L
- $504.18
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.842 | 0.865 | $1.2k | +$32.00 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.555 | $177.60 | −$17.60 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.575 | $69.00 | −$40.20 |
| Deniz Undav: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.20 |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz · Carlos Alcaraz | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.00 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.853 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$256.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.517 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$414.00 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$278.20at 0.642Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
- +$152.58at 0.619Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$135.00at 0.550Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$115.01at 0.640Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$91.01at 0.772Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 19:00 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.61 | $195.20 |
| 10-04 08:25 | Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.85 | $595.00 |
| 09-12 20:53 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.58 | $116.00 |
| 09-11 15:20 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov | BUY | 0.81 | $129.60 |
| 07-22 12:43 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 07-22 12:38 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.516 | $88.20 |
| 07-15 14:03 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.54 | $118.26 |
| 07-09 10:51 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6 | $78.00 |
| 07-09 10:49 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.78 | $124.80 |
| 07-06 19:27 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 07-01 08:53 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.91 | $227.50 |
| 07-01 08:50 | Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.87 | $139.20 |
| 07-01 08:48 | England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.89 | $195.80 |
| 06-30 13:59 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.93 | $465.00 |
| 06-29 20:46 | Deniz Undav: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |