PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

linlong

0xb8057a48f923dab13f93825069f0b2f56284bedf

Realised P&L
$504.18
Volume
$9.6k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.8420.865$1.2k+$32.00
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6100.555$177.60−$17.60
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.9100.575$69.00−$40.20
Deniz Undav: 1+ goals · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$8.20
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz · Carlos Alcaraz0.4300.000$0.00−$86.00
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany0.8530.000$0.00−$256.00
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes0.5170.000$0.00−$414.00
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6600.000$0.00−$99.00
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England0.5400.000$0.00−$118.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 19:00Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.61$195.20
10-04 08:25Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?BUY0.85$595.00
09-12 20:53US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonBUY0.58$116.00
09-11 15:20US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen KhachanovBUY0.81$129.60
07-22 12:43Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.52$104.00
07-22 12:38Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.516$88.20
07-15 14:03England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.54$118.26
07-09 10:51Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6$78.00
07-09 10:49France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.78$124.80
07-06 19:27Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.64$128.00
07-01 08:53Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceBUY0.91$227.50
07-01 08:50Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceBUY0.87$139.20
07-01 08:48England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceBUY0.89$195.80
06-30 13:59Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.93$465.00
06-29 20:46Deniz Undav: 1+ goalsBUY0.41$8.20