gdhgfhfgh1
0xb7e28ac46757ec39ebb31ffa5014c18fc9b7257c
- Realised P&L
- $-8.28
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $4.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $4.99 | −$0.01 |
| Kings vs. Celtics · Kings | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.93at 0.309Magic vs. Timberwolves
- +$4.90at 0.750Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 16?
- +$3.85at 0.749Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
- +$0.07at 0.994Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.988Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:47 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 05:27 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $6.00 |
| 05-29 05:59 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 05:50 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.99 |
| 05-29 02:13 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 05:16 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.66 |
| 04-16 03:38 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.78 |
| 03-18 01:57 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $11.54 |
| 03-18 01:49 | Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $17.73 |
| 03-12 02:45 | Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.76 |
| 03-07 06:22 | Magic vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.3090055818 | $3.10 |
| 02-13 08:59 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.993 | $320.14 |
| 02-13 06:41 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.994 | $320.47 |
| 02-13 06:38 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $378.27 |
| 02-13 02:32 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $378.66 |