watermelon177
0xb7de057f17e00d9fbfa465d9938c100a246cc1a4
- Realised P&L
- $-12.30
- Volume
- $446.50
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $41.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration89.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.490 | $36.90 | +$9.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.030 | $4.50 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$22.02 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 09-25 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.45 |
| 09-24 22:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.37 | $27.86 |