BigSenior
0xb7d425910321decae9ebdef421ff790cae1a34c0
- Realised P&L
- $-843.95
- Volume
- $41.9k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $244.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.035 | $244.21 | +$2.06 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$109.89 |
| Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.32 |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning · Canadiens | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.85 |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.55 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.16at 0.32049ers vs. Eagles
- +$73.79at 0.063Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$66.77at 0.400Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
- +$32.76at 0.295Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$31.71at 0.610Eagles vs. Bills
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 00:45 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $109.89 |
| 06-30 02:11 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0239999997 | $90.22 |
| 06-21 07:30 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.029 | $20.30 |
| 06-21 07:20 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.029849475 | $23.88 |
| 06-21 06:59 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.03 | $24.00 |
| 05-06 20:21 | Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.071 | $98.55 |
| 04-22 02:11 | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.4299999951 | $45.05 |
| 04-22 02:11 | Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) | SELL | 0.9058083253 | $46.79 |
| 04-21 23:03 | Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.2599999955 | $28.66 |
| 04-21 22:43 | Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $19.26 |
| 04-21 22:21 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0342098205 | $320.84 |
| 04-06 20:28 | Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.4799999982 | $93.13 |
| 04-06 20:03 | Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.469999998 | $76.39 |
| 04-06 20:02 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0312557764 | $78.89 |
| 03-26 20:46 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0375660609 | $94.82 |