ranran22
0xb7d36c71f9bd6a2a628141225e84cbeb37444056
- Realised P&L
- $-201.42
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $530.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No | 0.410 | 0.425 | $170.00 | +$6.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.705 | $141.00 | −$5.00 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · No | 0.357 | 0.375 | $112.49 | +$5.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.425 | $42.50 | −$3.50 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.325 | $32.50 | −$5.50 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.065 | $32.50 | −$37.50 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.00 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET · Up | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.00 |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.39 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.00 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.00 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.20at 0.745Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$104.00at 0.480Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$82.00at 0.180Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
- +$64.00at 0.360Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
- +$52.00at 0.480Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 10:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | SELL | 0.294 | $29.40 |
| 06-14 02:55 | Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 06-14 01:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |