PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

manlu

0xb7d321f3848e944f98b9b36160547a021ac21676

Realised P&L
$61.87
Volume
$9.0k
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$65.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7880.739$22.16$1.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.5051.000$20.00+$9.90
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2030.245$14.70+$2.51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2080.055$3.30$9.20
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1550.038$1.54$4.66
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5070.105$1.26$4.80
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.085$0.85$4.15
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3540.045$0.78$5.37
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.017$0.74$7.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.3000.000$0.00$12.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 10? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$2.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 25? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00$9.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3AM ET · Down0.6700.000$0.00$6.70
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26? · Down0.3300.000$0.00$6.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 08:24Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.14$1.40
07-08 08:16Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4AM ETBUY0.19$1.90
07-08 08:09Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.38$2.87
06-30 07:36Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3AM ETBUY0.58$5.80
06-25 14:07Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 25?SELL0.69$8.28
06-25 14:06Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?SELL0.88$22.00
06-25 05:03Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 25?BUY0.25$2.50
06-24 12:27Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$5.20
04-30 09:07Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ETSELL0.52$5.20
04-30 09:01Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ETSELL0.51$5.10
04-30 08:07Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ETBUY0.37$3.70
04-21 05:00Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.805$16.10
04-17 07:11Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.4$8.00
04-09 04:59Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.84$16.80
04-07 12:57Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.33$3.30