manlu
0xb7d321f3848e944f98b9b36160547a021ac21676
- Realised P&L
- $61.87
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $65.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.99at 0.070Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$29.07at 0.675Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?
- +$20.70at 0.830Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$19.60at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$13.26at 0.083Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 08:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 07-08 08:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 07-08 08:09 | Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.87 |
| 06-30 07:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 06-25 14:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 25? | SELL | 0.69 | $8.28 |
| 06-25 14:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25? | SELL | 0.88 | $22.00 |
| 06-25 05:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 06-24 12:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 04-30 09:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 04-30 09:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 04-30 08:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 04-21 05:00 | Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.805 | $16.10 |
| 04-17 07:11 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 04-09 04:59 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 04-07 12:57 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |