Inscez
0xb7d15b498485dfab52d9f58ed6b2eca2d705cc88
- Realised P&L
- $967.19
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $585.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR? · No | 0.548 | 0.830 | $585.19 | +$198.59 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? · Yes | 0.341 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$108.28 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$636.06at 0.410Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$339.75at 0.629Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?
- +$287.81at 0.410Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$171.10at 0.655Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?
- +$140.51at 0.741Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 13:35 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR? | BUY | 0.5479999998 | $386.60 |
| 07-23 13:27 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.9508926717 | $395.50 |
| 06-10 09:57 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.7151975717 | $297.47 |
| 06-10 09:56 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | SELL | 0.0155311552 | $0.67 |
| 05-06 22:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 05-06 22:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 22:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 22:07 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | SELL | 0.9838469417 | $304.49 |
| 04-30 10:43 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999858 | $9.00 |
| 04-30 10:42 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8400805866 | $260.00 |
| 04-17 14:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | BUY | 0.9798894361 | $265.38 |
| 04-17 14:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? | BUY | 0.2989102354 | $89.90 |
| 04-16 11:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16? | BUY | 0.2199999949 | $26.63 |
| 04-16 11:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $193.95 |
| 04-15 13:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? | BUY | 0.6895085667 | $105.08 |