n1c01a5
0xb7d06e2f3c4581013dec840d0396e3c98ce53ce8
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $227.8k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.009 | $1.5k | −$419.44 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.024 | $664.21 | −$235.78 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.135 | $568.16 | +$57.16 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.165 | $198.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.277 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Down | 0.285 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.260Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$499.53at 0.151Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.9kat 0.278Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 08:02 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $112.29 |
| 10-25 05:10 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $119.23 |
| 10-16 07:49 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.006 | $48.00 |
| 10-16 07:48 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0318423259 | $900.00 |
| 09-29 13:58 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0226416656 | $1.0k |
| 07-11 00:13 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0258153495 | $191.22 |
| 07-11 00:10 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3739999999 | $1.8k |
| 07-11 00:09 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.1k |
| 07-09 09:58 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.319 | $1.4k |
| 06-16 13:25 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $1000.00 |
| 06-14 12:24 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1669999996 | $462.55 |
| 06-14 12:16 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.12 | $493.03 |
| 06-03 10:10 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1216966953 | $1000.00 |
| 06-03 10:09 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999999 | $2.0k |
| 06-03 10:09 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1709999999 | $1.5k |