5551ab
0xb7cb8bb29780840e3589c2d86320a6057c8ae02f
- Realised P&L
- $21.4k
- Volume
- $6.02M
- Markets traded
- 2,002
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,002
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.484Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$3.7kat 0.494Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
- +$3.5kat 0.930Kings vs. Thunder
- +$3.3kat 0.931Thunder vs. Pelicans
- +$3.1kat 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $311.82 |
| 09-18 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $129.74 |
| 09-18 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $92.31 |
| 09-18 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9978993964 | $426.52 |
| 09-18 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 09-18 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $76.42 |
| 09-18 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.42 |
| 09-17 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.97 | $58.20 |
| 09-17 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $28.50 |
| 09-17 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-17 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.58 |
| 09-17 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-17 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $525.18 |
| 09-17 07:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 09-17 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $58.08 |