0xb7c5944531f773ec899Ffcf5C464e270E9140f73-1768735320914
0xb7c5944531f773ec899ffcf5c464e270e9140f73
- Realised P&L
- $-41.50
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $35.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.165 | $17.93 | −$7.07 |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? · No | 0.676 | 0.250 | $9.25 | −$15.75 |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.075 | $6.21 | −$6.79 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.095 | $2.26 | −$2.74 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 8? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.49at 0.770Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$0.87at 0.945Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$0.07at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
- +$0.06at 0.941Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 05:52 | Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1569811321 | $13.00 |
| 07-24 05:50 | Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? | BUY | 0.6759443274 | $25.00 |
| 07-24 05:50 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999933 | $25.00 |
| 05-19 04:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.945 | $15.00 |
| 05-19 04:37 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 04:37 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9409999492 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 06:01 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 06:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.0259999948 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 05:46 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 04-16 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $0.86 |
| 04-16 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $0.86 |
| 04-16 09:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.86 |
| 04-16 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $0.87 |
| 04-16 09:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.86 |
| 04-16 09:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $1.07 |