PolyBot

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Traders

0xB7C185aF4c49541326bA71B4Bfe4844144fc675E-1764804714515

0xb7c185af4c49541326ba71b4bfe4844144fc675e

Realised P&L
$6.8k
Volume
$500.2k
Markets traded
169
Open portfolio
$22.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded169
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6930.875$7.7k+$1.6k
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6890.922$5.1k+$1.3k
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? · No0.5600.645$2.6k+$346.36
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.9200.760$2.3k−$480.00
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.6970.757$2.2k+$178.62
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.6700.700$669.37+$28.69
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.8300.968$577.33+$82.31
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.9140.975$492.90+$30.67
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · No0.8200.735$220.50−$25.50
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · No0.3800.705$132.81+$61.22
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · No0.5000.375$112.50−$37.50
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · No0.6060.974$85.31+$32.21
Will MIBR win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$13.38
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3870.000$0.00−$7.0k
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00−$1.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$15.28
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64
10-21 21:26Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64
10-21 21:25Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.764$7.64