PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cowboycowboycowboy

0xb7bfee7a8eec555242881bdf5179a86842143dd8

Realised P&L
$61.95
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$28.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1090.105$19.36$0.64
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.045$9.00$33.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 13:49Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.18$20.00
05-06 05:32Timberwolves vs. SpursBUY0.78$40.00
05-06 04:52Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1089999955$20.00
05-05 04:34Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
02-06 03:12Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)BUY0.5099999964$42.88
11-21 15:09Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.6599999938$27.80
11-21 15:09Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?SELL0.0311241789$25.06
10-20 15:51Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.759999999$150.00
10-13 04:59Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?BUY0.1241775614$100.00
10-07 13:51Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?BUY0.6986247585$50.00
10-05 16:39Vikings vs. BrownsSELL0.04$5.41
10-04 17:47Vikings vs. BrownsBUY0.3699999957$50.00
09-30 15:09Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8399999997$200.00
09-27 23:45Eagles vs. BuccaneersBUY0.64$50.00
09-26 20:06Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?SELL0.1283942751$65.13