cowboycowboycowboy
0xb7bfee7a8eec555242881bdf5179a86842143dd8
- Realised P&L
- $61.95
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $28.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.105 | $19.36 | −$0.64 |
| Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.045 | $9.00 | −$33.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$312.82at 0.390Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$42.59at 0.540Seahawks vs. Cardinals
- +$41.20at 0.510Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
- +$38.10at 0.840Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$28.13at 0.640Eagles vs. Buccaneers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 13:49 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $20.00 |
| 05-06 05:32 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.78 | $40.00 |
| 05-06 04:52 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1089999955 | $20.00 |
| 05-05 04:34 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 02-06 03:12 | Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5099999964 | $42.88 |
| 11-21 15:09 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.6599999938 | $27.80 |
| 11-21 15:09 | Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025? | SELL | 0.0311241789 | $25.06 |
| 10-20 15:51 | Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.759999999 | $150.00 |
| 10-13 04:59 | Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025? | BUY | 0.1241775614 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 13:51 | Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday? | BUY | 0.6986247585 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 16:39 | Vikings vs. Browns | SELL | 0.04 | $5.41 |
| 10-04 17:47 | Vikings vs. Browns | BUY | 0.3699999957 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 15:09 | Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $200.00 |
| 09-27 23:45 | Eagles vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 09-26 20:06 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.1283942751 | $65.13 |