PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

-Quacky-

0xb7bf495534953090f443a9eb91a8653b1078f128

Realised P&L
$733.07
Volume
$102.1k
Markets traded
917
Open portfolio
$119.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded917
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:06Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.0552810862$2.32
10-01 05:06Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.1276119403$17.10
10-01 05:06Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.1088562797$5.04
10-01 02:15Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.42$2.10
10-01 02:14Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 1?BUY0.14$6.30
10-01 02:11Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.37$1.85
10-01 02:09Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1?BUY0.33$4.62
10-01 02:09Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.41$2.05
10-01 02:07Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1?BUY0.15$6.75
10-01 02:05Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 1?BUY0.21$1.05
10-01 02:01Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 1?BUY0.16$1.92
10-01 01:53Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 1?BUY0.28668$2.87
09-30 22:41Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 1?BUY0.01$1.32
09-30 21:54Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on October 1?BUY0.003$1.52
09-30 21:53Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on October 1?BUY0.002$0.31