sherrimiller
0xb7b5fd01d9125187f7e0fe31a0886d08bfd3c942
- Realised P&L
- $19.58
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $51.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 3? · No | 0.780 | 1.000 | $36.44 | +$8.00 |
| Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.780 | $15.11 | −$1.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.07at 0.945Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$2.21at 0.980Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.85at 0.983Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.25at 0.988Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.09at 0.990Will Putin meet with Trump before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $28.44 |
| 01-31 14:46 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.13 |
| 01-30 18:27 | Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.28 |
| 01-30 17:51 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.91 |
| 01-30 14:24 | Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.06 |
| 01-30 12:49 | Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $46.15 |
| 12-30 15:01 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9979999689 | $5.20 |
| 12-30 14:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.07 |
| 12-29 18:15 | Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999907 | $11.88 |
| 12-29 18:09 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.21 |
| 12-29 18:08 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999859 | $61.08 |
| 10-30 18:47 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.35 |
| 10-30 17:45 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.997999972 | $29.98 |
| 09-29 18:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | BUY | 0.9989999642 | $12.54 |
| 09-29 18:24 | Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.09 |