ElerKsan
0xb7b3849922302dbce4b2015cbd81edb0c94fbe6c
- Realised P&L
- $9.0k
- Volume
- $828.5k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.418 | 0.455 | $2.0k | +$162.57 |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.160 | $239.99 | −$704.96 |
| Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 1.000 | $46.68 | +$40.15 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No | 0.271 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.1k |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? · No | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$304.01 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch? · No | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.7kat 0.179Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$4.8kat 0.316MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$2.2kat 0.264Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$1.7kat 0.078Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$1.2kat 0.372Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 12:25 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.3576484848 | $590.12 |
| 10-28 19:58 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.35 | $209.21 |
| 10-28 12:43 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3670196567 | $1.1k |
| 06-16 14:32 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.009 | $486.98 |
| 05-04 15:14 | Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.707 | $91.39 |
| 05-04 15:13 | Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7444450748 | $648.21 |
| 04-30 20:07 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.1k |
| 04-30 15:25 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3595076378 | $1.5k |
| 04-30 15:22 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.33 | $524.29 |
| 04-30 14:47 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3080393807 | $2.4k |
| 04-30 09:54 | Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale? | SELL | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 04-30 09:54 | Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale? | SELL | 0.0024102316 | $9.54 |
| 04-30 09:54 | Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale? | SELL | 0.004 | $6.35 |
| 04-30 09:54 | Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale? | SELL | 0.001159072 | $5.80 |
| 04-30 09:54 | Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale? | SELL | 0.0020668 | $6.20 |