yourgoodman
0xb7a5e0cd46dfaebd3a1575db71074c0a540373a4
- Realised P&L
- $-164.28
- Volume
- $34.6k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $714.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by September 30? · No | 0.985 | 0.999 | $241.64 | +$3.34 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.60 in September? · No | 0.994 | 0.997 | $209.26 | +$0.53 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in September? · No | 0.994 | 0.965 | $118.38 | −$3.62 |
| Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in September? · No | 0.990 | 0.964 | $96.35 | −$2.65 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $80 end of September? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.987 | $49.33 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.85at 0.977Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
- +$20.34at 0.964US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$14.00at 0.910Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
- +$13.54at 0.986Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$11.94at 0.983EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 01:56 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 in September? | BUY | 0.994 | $122.00 |
| 09-21 01:53 | Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-20 04:34 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 in September? | BUY | 0.994 | $208.74 |
| 09-15 06:49 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-15 06:48 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 09-15 06:48 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.9988380261 | $185.00 |
| 09-14 11:45 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $80 end of September? | BUY | 0.989 | $49.45 |
| 09-10 05:47 | Will Solana dip to $50 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.999 | $109.89 |
| 09-10 05:46 | Will Solana dip to $30 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.41 |
| 09-10 05:45 | Will XRP dip to $0.70 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.999 | $361.24 |
| 09-05 07:06 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 09-05 06:59 | Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-03 08:40 | Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.80 |
| 09-03 08:40 | Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 09-03 08:39 | Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.30 |