0xb790ffd96434f1d2627e5d0cf4aab33224a25c25
0xb790ffd96434f1d2627e5d0cf4aab33224a25c25
- Realised P&L
- $9.23
- Volume
- $508.42
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $9.23
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.430 | $1.79 | +$0.79 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.555 | $1.63 | +$0.63 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.610 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.405 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.320 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.405 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.505 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.175 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.145 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.14at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
- +$3.82at 0.351Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$3.72at 0.218Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 17:30 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 09:29 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 01:29 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 17:29 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 09:14 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:26 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:53 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:14 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:15 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:09 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:08 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6159998571 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:06 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:03 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 01:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:17 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |