PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

37231836

0xb78be92b153de7a134a3cd7113b7c1d3d4992802

Realised P&L
$-27.84
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
1,970
Open portfolio
$75.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,970
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration3.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Haiti vs. Trinidad and Tobago: Neither team to score first? · No0.9600.998$2.08+$0.08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 26? · No0.9760.993$2.03+$0.03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 26? · No0.9690.983$2.03+$0.03
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Brazil? · No0.9700.976$2.01+$0.01
Spread: Australia (-1.5) · Brazil0.9750.980$2.01+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 26? · Yes0.9780.982$2.01+$0.01
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25? · Yes0.9800.980$2.00+$0.00
Exact Score: Armenia 0 - 2 Latvia? · No0.9720.971$2.00−$0.00
Exact Score: Georgia 3 - 2 Northern Ireland? · No0.9780.976$2.00−$0.00
Exact Score: Georgia 0 - 2 Northern Ireland? · No0.9700.968$2.00−$0.00
Exact Score: Armenia 3 - 2 Latvia? · No0.9760.974$1.99−$0.01
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Brazil? · No0.9670.965$1.99−$0.01
Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 0.5 · Over0.9660.964$1.99−$0.01
Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be less than 40k? · No0.9800.977$1.99−$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 25? · No0.9670.964$1.99−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 03:58Dominican Republic vs. Nicaragua: Neither team to score first?SELL0.999$2.04
09-25 03:55Exact Score: Costa Rica 3 - 1 Curaçao?SELL0.999$0.01
09-25 03:52Exact Score: Costa Rica 3 - 1 Curaçao?SELL0.999$2.06
09-25 03:52Exact Score: Costa Rica 2 - 2 Curaçao?SELL0.999$2.06
09-25 03:46Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 24?SELL0.999$1.04
09-25 03:39Exact Score: Costa Rica 3 - 2 Curaçao?SELL0.999$2.04
09-25 03:38Exact Score: Costa Rica 0 - 2 Curaçao?SELL0.999$0.01
09-25 03:28Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25?BUY0.9689999777$1.00
09-25 03:23Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 24?SELL0.999$2.06
09-25 03:20Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 63.5SELL0.999$1.03
09-25 03:17Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 24?SELL0.999$3.10
09-25 03:09Will Russia target Kyiv on September 25, 2026?SELL0.999$1.02
09-25 02:58Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 24?SELL0.999$1.04
09-25 02:50Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 24?BUY0.96$1.00
09-25 02:44Exact Score: Costa Rica 0 - 2 Curaçao?SELL0.999$2.04