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Traders

playrole2

0xb78b75ad26596756c06bbeb6dd3fb0bf7c095d40

Realised P&L
$98.38
Volume
$66.7k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$406.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.1900.203$406.00+$26.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$61.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? · No0.0140.000$0.00−$142.60
Will Solana reach $250 in August? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00−$230.00
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$12.73
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Solana reach $250 in July? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$132.04
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$280.00
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$9.80
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? · No0.1240.000$0.00−$124.00
Will Solana reach $300 in September? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$569.94
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$310.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 01:33Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?BUY0.07$12.73
06-24 14:37Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? BUY0.014$140.00
06-24 00:13Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?SELL0.235$1.41
06-17 10:32Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?BUY0.08$35.68
06-16 05:01Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?BUY0.1$23.80
06-16 00:03Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?BUY0.07$2.10
05-12 11:53Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?BUY0.21$210.00
05-12 01:13US-China trade deal before June?BUY0.15$115.29
05-08 14:14Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?SELL0.1$1.17
05-08 00:27Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?BUY0.07$90.62
05-07 01:17Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?SELL0.99016428$990.16
04-26 12:41Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 20% and 50% on April 30?BUY0.033$41.80
04-23 00:49Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?BUY0.24$240.00
04-19 11:42Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?SELL0.040050403$79.46
04-15 11:45Ukraine election called in 2025?SELL0.5706238185$114.71
Trader playrole2 · PolyBot Pro