ch3k
0xb788bd347249f6b27a33b0b87061ee57e4b6536e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.11
- Volume
- $225.49
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $11.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.570 | $11.40 | −$3.20 |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven · Rico | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Down | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up | 0.495 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.22at 0.786Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$4.63at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$4.38at 0.696Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner
- +$0.65at 0.704Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$-0.52at 0.072Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 14:03 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.55 |
| 05-23 23:07 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 05-23 19:54 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 21:42 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $0.49 |
| 05-17 21:41 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 05-17 18:49 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 05-17 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 15:42 | Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0613157895 | $2.33 |
| 05-10 12:18 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0689999387 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 19:02 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 05-07 19:00 | Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.379 | $11.37 |
| 04-23 18:33 | Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 04-23 18:28 | Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.78 | $10.69 |
| 03-16 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.94 |
| 03-16 20:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |