TheGoonKing
0xb781c2900543be41132cebe565a84158f49b9ba9
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $783.4k
- Markets traded
- 528
- Open portfolio
- $14.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded528
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.1kat 0.657Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
- +$4.0kat 0.602Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$2.4kat 0.627Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
- +$2.2kat 0.903Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
- +$1.7kat 0.618Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:59 | Packers vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.74 | $80.90 |
| 09-13 20:57 | Will the Bills win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 09-13 16:50 | Bears vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.6 | $47.20 |
| 09-12 04:08 | Oregon vs. Oklahoma State | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 09-12 04:07 | Oklahoma vs. Michigan | BUY | 0.66 | $99.00 |
| 09-12 04:07 | Will the New York Jets make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.89 | $48.95 |
| 09-10 22:28 | Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.086 | $10.08 |
| 09-10 22:26 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.65 | $149.50 |
| 09-09 22:41 | Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 30.5 | BUY | 0.87 | $104.40 |
| 09-09 22:40 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.62 | $99.20 |
| 09-07 18:26 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.068 | $102.00 |
| 09-07 18:25 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.063 | $100.80 |
| 09-07 18:25 | Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 18:24 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.042 | $100.80 |
| 09-07 18:18 | Will the New York Jets make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.10 |