TheGoonKing
0xb781c2900543be41132cebe565a84158f49b9ba9
- Realised P&L
- $382.53
- Volume
- $840.5k
- Markets traded
- 589
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded589
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.145 | $708.37 | −$22.40 |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.104 | $523.55 | +$270.00 |
| Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.076 | $440.71 | −$50.96 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.550 | $110.00 | +$6.00 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.495 | $99.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.028 | $51.21 | −$72.54 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys · Cowboys | 0.750 | 0.376 | $48.81 | −$48.69 |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa: O/U 45.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Seahawks vs. Titans · Seahawks | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.22 |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.18 |
| Ravens vs. Falcons · Falcons | 0.626 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$281.90 |
| Colorado vs. Georgia Tech · Georgia Tech | 0.661 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.72 |
| Bills vs. Rams · Rams | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.20 |
| Syracuse vs. North Carolina · North Carolina | 0.758 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 38.5 · Over | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.1kat 0.657Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
- +$4.0kat 0.602Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$2.4kat 0.627Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
- +$2.2kat 0.903Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
- +$2.1kat 0.833Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 02:56 | Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $98.00 |
| 11-01 02:56 | Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $106.00 |
| 11-01 02:55 | Vikings vs. Lions | BUY | 0.63 | $100.80 |
| 11-01 02:55 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.75 | $97.50 |
| 11-01 02:53 | Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 10-31 17:30 | Northwestern vs. Oregon | SELL | 0.63 | $100.80 |
| 10-31 17:29 | Minnesota vs. Indiana: O/U 35.5 | BUY | 0.67 | $100.50 |
| 10-31 17:29 | Mississippi State vs. Texas: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $106.00 |
| 10-31 17:28 | Ohio State vs. USC | BUY | 0.69 | $103.50 |
| 10-31 17:27 | Northwestern vs. Oregon | BUY | 0.37 | $103.60 |
| 10-31 17:27 | Northwestern vs. Oregon | BUY | 0.64 | $102.40 |
| 10-31 17:25 | Illinois vs. Maryland | BUY | 0.43 | $98.90 |
| 10-31 01:30 | Baylor vs. UCF | BUY | 0.88 | $105.60 |
| 10-26 16:50 | Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $102.90 |
| 10-25 20:04 | Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.56 | $112.00 |