PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TheGoonKing

0xb781c2900543be41132cebe565a84158f49b9ba9

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$755.5k
Markets traded
466
Open portfolio
$12.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded466
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.8290.845$9.6k+$179.88
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.1490.130$635.09$95.62
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.6130.747$608.40+$108.96
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0450.068$230.18+$77.40
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.0690.059$216.74$35.83
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0320.040$185.64+$35.25
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0390.043$165.75+$13.65
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0650.069$152.36+$6.86
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0100.009$140.25$18.74
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs · New York Yankees0.4200.000$0.00$100.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:18New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.53$106.00
08-02 01:22New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.42$100.80
08-02 01:19Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.13$249.47
07-28 01:24Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.059$17.44
07-28 01:24Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.057$11.29
07-24 00:42Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.12$74.13
07-23 05:55Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?BUY0.055$0.55
07-23 05:52Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.5$100.00
07-20 05:30Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.479$100.59
07-18 20:55Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.57$34.20
07-16 23:24Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.59$5.9k
07-15 00:03England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5BUY0.89$1.1k
07-15 00:02England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.465$158.10
07-14 23:44England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.535$192.60
07-14 15:28France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5825$1.0k