TheGoonKing
0xb781c2900543be41132cebe565a84158f49b9ba9
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $755.5k
- Markets traded
- 466
- Open portfolio
- $12.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded466
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.829 | 0.845 | $9.6k | +$179.88 |
| Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.130 | $635.09 | −$95.62 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.613 | 0.747 | $608.40 | +$108.96 |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.068 | $230.18 | +$77.40 |
| Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.059 | $216.74 | −$35.83 |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.040 | $185.64 | +$35.25 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.043 | $165.75 | +$13.65 |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.069 | $152.36 | +$6.86 |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.009 | $140.25 | −$18.74 |
| New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs · New York Yankees | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.590Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$2.5kat 0.620Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
- +$2.3kat 0.900Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
- +$1.6kat 0.420Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?
- +$1.1kat 0.890Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:18 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.53 | $106.00 |
| 08-02 01:22 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.42 | $100.80 |
| 08-02 01:19 | Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.13 | $249.47 |
| 07-28 01:24 | Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.059 | $17.44 |
| 07-28 01:24 | Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.057 | $11.29 |
| 07-24 00:42 | Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $74.13 |
| 07-23 05:55 | Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.055 | $0.55 |
| 07-23 05:52 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 05:30 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.479 | $100.59 |
| 07-18 20:55 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.57 | $34.20 |
| 07-16 23:24 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.59 | $5.9k |
| 07-15 00:03 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.89 | $1.1k |
| 07-15 00:02 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.465 | $158.10 |
| 07-14 23:44 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.535 | $192.60 |
| 07-14 15:28 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5825 | $1.0k |