ferocifer
0xb77c9c307e14727ee5048aac0653b73bd880ccc1
- Realised P&L
- $-52.15
- Volume
- $660.97
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $71.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.805 | $71.56 | −$8.44 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$19.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-52.15at 0.144Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.0953238867 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.1380198747 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 04:48 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.9 | $80.00 |