Easywins1212
0xb77badd9c5c6e07a6e51b148b44535dde62b1d49
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $31.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $52.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.040 | $27.65 | −$119.35 |
| Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.020 | $17.47 | −$28.65 |
| Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.046 | $7.87 | −$5.67 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$814.24 |
| Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$318.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.90at 0.110Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-390.70at 0.641Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 22:17 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.24 | $814.24 |
| 07-05 22:14 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.27 | $318.60 |
| 06-29 03:40 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.058 | $882.39 |
| 06-13 03:37 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.106 | $428.70 |
| 05-11 01:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $41.26 |
| 03-24 04:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $14.88 |
| 03-24 04:05 | Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.20 |
| 03-23 01:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $37.82 |