PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Awestin.eth

0xb779436770333f8d584dd8a61fba3910c324ab22

Realised P&L
$-7.9k
Volume
$1.52M
Markets traded
2,106
Open portfolio
$15.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,106
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.7520.935$3.3k+$639.95
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.945$839.16+$39.96
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.4610.590$810.45+$177.38
Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · Yes0.3810.340$625.40$76.29
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.940$563.83+$89.97
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027? · No0.5600.815$463.09+$145.09
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8600.680$408.00$108.00
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.2400.770$385.00+$265.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.6300.765$382.49+$67.50
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · No0.2600.825$359.94+$246.51
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · No0.7250.936$342.10+$77.10
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0450.054$316.72+$55.34
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · No0.7800.989$296.55+$62.55
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · No0.8800.955$286.50+$22.50
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5750.855$281.30+$92.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 23:48Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)BUY0.47$23.50
09-13 23:48Cowboys vs. GiantsBUY0.62$77.50
09-13 17:56Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.048$37.20
09-13 17:00Bears vs. PanthersBUY0.5999999994$200.00
09-12 17:20Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6765421169$90.00
09-12 17:19Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?SELL0.9651563539$386.05
09-12 16:12Oklahoma vs. MichiganBUY0.6599999993$150.00
09-07 23:28Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?SELL0.61$77.47
09-07 23:28Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?SELL0.640566474$110.82
09-07 00:29Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$142.45
09-06 23:51Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?SELL0.2343524229$66.50
09-06 23:17Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?BUY0.4237318333$254.24
09-01 19:54Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?SELL0.88$8.80
09-01 19:52Will the Democrats win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?SELL0.11$0.61
09-01 15:16Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?BUY0.0196868421$3.74