PolyBot

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Traders

SatisfiedQuadrant

0xb777e043af26ad46077c9bf5bedf24437237e4e0

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$90.5k
Markets traded
159
Open portfolio
$10.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded159
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.7070.999$921.52+$268.88
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more? · No0.8040.955$895.79+$141.56
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? · No0.7690.845$751.19+$67.81
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 20%-25%? · No0.7640.960$714.36+$146.10
Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · No0.8660.994$679.26+$87.17
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? · No0.8030.865$562.46+$40.05
Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? · No0.6510.852$528.54+$124.69
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 10%-15%? · No0.8300.785$516.40−$29.60
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 5%-15%? · No0.8730.997$511.67+$63.49
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more? · No0.7350.595$488.25−$114.79
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%? · No0.8470.840$473.01−$4.10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 9%-12%? · No0.8260.860$431.65+$16.89
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%? · No0.8260.784$388.84−$20.75
Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.8370.856$236.26+$5.12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 45%-50%? · No0.8450.925$235.87+$20.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 04:29Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 50%-55%?BUY0.8469205689$150.66
09-14 04:29Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 45%-50%?BUY0.8446844974$215.39
09-11 04:43Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?BUY0.7876467119$267.09
09-11 04:43Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?BUY0.7099277205$212.15
09-09 03:43Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.86$759.38
09-09 03:42Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?BUY0.7533848232$89.25
09-09 03:42Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?BUY0.7763478658$170.06
09-09 03:41Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?BUY0.825846523$409.60
09-07 03:18Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 5%-15%?BUY0.8732889071$448.18
09-07 03:17Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?BUY0.6942028007$616.70
09-07 03:16Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.8374637681$231.14
09-07 03:16Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?BUY0.8040831557$754.23
09-07 03:15Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 55% or more?BUY0.7954347826$73.18
09-06 04:06Will Trump meet with Mark Carney in September 2026?BUY0.7509409993$79.80
09-06 04:05Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 20%-25%?BUY0.7636553244$568.25