greyfacemoon
0xb76f635e28d3a6790460e91ee4f69552eb100854
- Realised P&L
- $49.22
- Volume
- $866.58
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $45.02
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.94at 0.320Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
- +$9.29at 0.350Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$8.99at 0.300Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
- +$8.16at 0.380US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$7.37at 0.230Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 13:08 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.1409999917 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:07 | Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 15:26 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 15:26 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $3.00 |
| 09-07 14:05 | Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.5599999253 | $3.00 |
| 09-07 14:00 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2048779833 | $2.00 |
| 07-25 19:29 | Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 15:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 15:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 15:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 15:07 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 15:06 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 15:00 | Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections? | BUY | 0.9229999874 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 15:00 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9079999862 | $5.00 |