PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

billonbillion

0xb7698a0bd23d5cec39da5f7d136c2dd8d42c847c

Realised P&L
$8.00
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$254.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat? · Yes0.9640.982$63.31+$1.13
Will the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat? · No0.9700.985$61.43+$0.94
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · No0.9610.968$61.05+$0.41
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat? · Yes0.9750.984$39.36+$0.36
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.9540.931$23.29−$0.56
Will BP be acquired before 2027? · No0.9690.966$6.34−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-14 11:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.9809999832$21.38