asfdt5
0xb768e506a27a72e275f4c4a74c78d3a439b0568c
- Realised P&L
- $-25.67
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $54.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.77at 0.302Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
- +$14.75at 0.467Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$14.55at 0.032Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$14.34at 0.110Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$11.02at 0.030Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 02:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.03 |
| 10-16 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.02 |
| 10-16 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.07 |
| 10-16 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.11 |
| 10-16 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.02 |
| 10-16 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.82 | $1.08 |
| 10-16 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.12 |
| 10-16 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.06 |
| 10-16 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.08 |
| 10-16 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.57 |
| 10-16 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.81 |
| 10-16 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.03 |
| 10-16 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.03 |
| 10-16 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.04 |