PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

asfdt5

0xb768e506a27a72e275f4c4a74c78d3a439b0568c

Realised P&L
$-25.67
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
195
Open portfolio
$54.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded195
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 16? · Yes0.3590.983$5.97+$3.79
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16? · Yes0.2100.956$5.10+$3.98
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 16? · No0.7091.000$4.33+$1.26
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 16? · Yes0.2600.996$4.31+$3.18
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 17? · No0.8950.690$1.63−$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 17? · Yes0.3800.580$1.61+$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 16? · No0.6701.000$1.52+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 16? · No0.8201.000$1.32+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 16? · No0.8701.000$1.27+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 16? · No0.8600.999$1.25+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17? · No0.5100.505$1.24−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 17? · No0.8500.960$1.23+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 17? · No0.7850.930$1.23+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 17? · Yes0.2700.310$1.20+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 17? · Yes0.3300.345$1.18+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 02:07Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17?BUY0.42$1.03
10-16 02:00Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 17?BUY0.68$1.02
10-16 02:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 16?BUY0.86$1.07
10-16 01:47Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 17?BUY0.94$1.11
10-16 01:47Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 17?BUY0.85$1.00
10-16 01:42Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 16?BUY0.67$1.02
10-16 01:36Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 16?BUY0.82$1.08
10-16 01:35Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 16?BUY0.38$1.12
10-16 01:35Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 16?BUY0.34$1.06
10-16 01:22Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 16?BUY0.14$1.08
10-16 01:17Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 17?BUY0.03$0.57
10-16 01:17Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 17?BUY0.09$0.81
10-16 01:16Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 17?BUY0.78$1.03
10-16 01:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?BUY0.42$1.03
10-16 01:16Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 17?BUY0.27$1.04